Rental displacement refers to the forced or indirect removal of tenants from rental housing due to redevelopment, gentrification, significant rent increases, or property conversion.
Why Rental Displacement Matters in Real Estate
In Canadian real estate, rental displacement raises housing equity concerns and influences planning decisions in urban centres facing affordability crises.
Common causes include:
Demolition or renovation of rental properties
Evictions for owner occupation or redevelopment
Rent increases after tenant turnover
Condo conversions or repurposing of rental buildings
Displacement disproportionately affects low-income renters and may trigger municipal protections like rental replacement bylaws or tenant relocation programs.
Understanding rental displacement helps planners, developers, and policymakers prioritize balanced growth and housing stability.
Example of Rental Displacement in Action
Tenants in an aging rental building are given eviction notices after the property is sold to a developer planning luxury condos, causing rental displacement.
Key Takeaways
Occurs when tenants are pushed out due to redevelopment
Linked to gentrification and affordability pressures
Designated agency is a brokerage model in which a real estate firm designates separate agents to represent different clients in the same transaction.. more
A density study is an analysis used to determine the development potential of a parcel of land under applicable zoning and planning regulations. It. more
A geothermal lease grants rights to use underground heat resources for energy generation or property heating and cooling. The lease defines access,. more
A foreign buyer compliance certificate is documentation required to confirm that a property purchase complies with federal, provincial, or municipal. more
Elysium Investments has built its reputation on rethinking what cities need — and then moving boldly to deliver it. From transforming overlooked opportunities abroad to reshaping Toronto’s rental landscape, the firm has consistently shown a talent for anticipating where demand is headed next. Its newest focus: solving one of the most urgent challenges facing young people today: student housing.
Known for finding fresh solutions to city-building challenges, Elysium has recognized an unmet need in the student housing sphere: affordable, high-quality accommodations located close to major post-secondary institutions.
With the aim of democratizing student housing, the investment firm is introducing Yarra: a modern purpose-built student rental (PBSR) platform dedicated to providing customizable and design-forward living spaces — ones that students can actually afford.
For years, student housing has been treated as a byproduct of urban development: fast, generic, and often disconnected from the realities of student life. The goal with Yarra is to turn that model on its head with housing that’s for the students, by the students, especially in the midst of a housing crunch heavily impacting those navigating the study-work-life balance.
Yarra has been crafted with the student experience top of mind — a unique vantage point, when compared to many large developers who tailor their pitches to institutions. By looking to the students themselves, Yarra can capture the needs, budgets, and desires of those who will live in these suites at the end of the day.
“The future of student housing isn’t in maximizing density — it’s in maximizing experience," says Sayf Hassan, CEO, Elysium Investments. "Yarra is built on a simple idea: when you put students first, both community and long-term value follow.”
Yarra has been crafted with the student experience top of mind, a unique vantage point compared to many large developments that prioritize investors before residents. By looking to the students themselves, Yarra can capture the needs, budgets, and desires of those who will ultimately live in these suites.
Namely, Elysium notes, students are looking not only for a place to call home, but also a sense of community — one that’s been thoughtfully crafted and doesn’t break the bank. By engaging directly with student voices and organizations, Yarra is able to design housing that truly matches what students are looking for, while offering both affordability and a sought-after sense of belonging.
“Students aren’t asking for luxury towers or over-the-top amenities," Hassan says. "They want affordability, flexibility, and belonging. Yarra is about giving them spaces where they can live, learn, and grow together.”
While Yarra meets a host of student needs, it also introduces an unmatched opportunity for developers, landowners, and investors within a much-untapped real estate realm. Whether an equity partner is seeking long-term gains, a developer is pivoting from condo builds and looking for joint ventures, or a landowner is exploring new ways to unlock value, Yarra is positioned to meet them there.
Now more than ever, students need reliable housing, the kind that fosters community, autonomy, and connection. Despite recent government-imposed caps on foreign student admissions, demand continues to outpace supply; earlier this year, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reported a record-low national vacancy rate of 1.5%.
Pair this with the condo market’s cooling, which has opened up central urban sites and created new high-density opportunities, and it’s impossible to deny the value of Yarra’s vision.
“The vacancy crisis and condo slowdown together have created a rare opening: we can finally deliver purpose-built student rentals in prime urban locations," Hassan says. "It’s an opportunity that aligns social need with investor returns.”
With well-designed spaces located just steps from classrooms, structured around affordability and flexibility, Yarra is poised to lead an evolving student housing sector, one that champions the needs of students first.
And as the market shifts, Yarra’s mission extends beyond filling today’s gap: it’s about setting a new benchmark for what student living should be — affordable, connected, and built with care.
Framed by a serene pond and the timeless landscapes of the Rouge Valley, the Townhomes of Little Rouge (“Little Rouge”) bring tranquility and beauty right to your doorstep.
Coming soon to Donald Cousens Parkway and Ninth Line, the Townhomes of Little Rouge by Camcos Living combine modern architecture, spacious layouts, and premium lifestyle features. For homeowners seeking both the serenity of nature and the convenience of city living, this Markham community is uniquely positioned to deliver the best of both worlds.
Camcos Living
Where Urban Meets Nature
Spread across 147 residences, the community offers a curated mix of back-to-back and traditional townhomes. Many feature private outdoor living areas, from rooftop terraces with expansive views to spacious backyards ideal for family gatherings. Inside, the homes have been carefully designed to create seamless connections between indoor and outdoor life, supporting an easy, breezy lifestyle that feels natural from the moment you step through the door.
While convenience is essential, Little Rouge’s connection to nature is what makes it truly stand out. The community sits directly on the edge of Rouge National Urban Park, a rare and remarkable amenity in the Greater Toronto Area. Residents will enjoy direct access to playgrounds, scenic hiking trails, and calm waterways. All without leaving their neighbourhood.
For those seeking balance, the pairing of city convenience with natural tranquility is hard to beat. A morning jog along the Rouge’s trails, an afternoon family hike, or an evening spent by the water transforms everyday routines into experiences of connection and renewal. Little Rouge offers a lifestyle that keeps both nature and modernity within reach.
Shutterstock
Everyday Convenience
Life at Little Rouge is defined as much by accessibility as it is by beauty. The community is just minutes from Mount Joy GO Station, making quick work of commutes into downtown Toronto. Markham Stouffville Hospital, major shopping destinations such as CF Markville, and key transportation arteries like Highways 404 and 407 are all close at hand. Whether residents are heading into the city for work, venturing north for a cottage weekend, or simply running daily errands, every trip is made easier by this location.
For families, the neighbourhood’s proximity to schools, community centres, and parks is a major advantage. The newly built Cornell Community Centre is minutes away, offering a fitness centre, track, swimming pool, playground, and multipurpose halls for everything from recreation to community events. Together, these elements make Little Rouge not only a home base but a launch pad for the many lifestyles its future residents will lead.
The Townhomes of Little Rouge embody modern architecture and thoughtful interiors. Floor plans emphasize openness and flow, creating bright, welcoming spaces ideal for families, professionals, and downsizers alike. Premium finishes, flexible layouts, and options for private outdoor living make each home feel both sophisticated and personal.
Rooftop terraces provide sweeping views of the Rouge Valley, while backyards overlooking Little Rouge Creek invite quiet evenings spent in the fresh air. These details are not luxuries; they are daily reminders of how design can shape comfort, relaxation, and a sense of belonging.
Camcos Living
Camcos Living
Built to Last
Behind the beauty of Little Rouge lies Camcos Living’s deep commitment to quality. Each home is constructed with durable materials and forward-looking systems that ensure long-term comfort. Dual zone climate control, advanced panelized building systems, and building envelope barrier systems delivers both energy efficiency and environmental responsibility. These choices mean less maintenance, lower costs over time, and homes that stay comfortable in every season, from hot Ontario summers to the coldest winter days. Every decision, from the selection of finishes to the integration of sustainability features, ties back to a philosophy of building lasting communities.
Camcos
A Sense of Community
Beyond the walls of each home, Little Rouge is designed to foster connection. An integrated central park, complete with seating, pergolas, and a playground, will serve as the heart of the neighbourhood. Here, neighbours can gather, children can play, and a sense of belonging can take root.
Camcos Living recognizes that homes are only as strong as the communities they create. By balancing modern amenities with natural landscapes and shared spaces, Little Rouge offers homeowners the chance to grow into a community defined by connection, care, and quality of life.
A Rare Opportunity
Townhomes of Little Rouge represent a rare opportunity in Markham’s housing landscape. For those seeking a thoughtfully planned community that marries convenience with calm, this project stands apart. Construction has commenced and sales are underway, now is your opportunity to experience a future defined by both modern ease and timeless natural beauty.
To learn more about the Townhomes of Little Rouge and Camcos Living’s promise of “Life, Better Built”, visit camcos.ca.
In a real estate landscape where choice is often limited and transparency is all too rare, Hyyve is rewriting the rules — and making the process work better for everyone involved.
Fresh off its recent launch, the Toronto-based platform is quickly gaining traction for the way it empowers sellers, attracts serious buyers, and gives agents a more direct, performance-based path to listings.
But what’s perhaps most striking about Hyyve is how effectively it balances the needs of all key players in a real estate transaction — sellers, buyers, and agents — in one unified experience.
For Sellers: Options, Insight, and a Head Start
Traditionally, sellers have relied on referrals or neighbourhood know-how to select their agent — often choosing from a narrow pool with little data to compare. Hyyve flips that script by allowing sellers to receive bids from a curated network of fully vetted agents, each offering a different blend of expertise, strategy, and commission. On Hyyve, the process starts with something unique in real estate: agents competing to represent you with upfront cash offers. Even more compelling: the winning agent pays the seller an upfront fee, simply for securing the listing. That money — which can help offset closing costs, legal fees, or home improvements — gives sellers an immediate and tangible head start.
It’s a meaningful incentive for sellers, but it’s also a smart play for agents — because winning a listing on Hyyve is a 100% ROI opportunity. They only pay when they secure the client.
But Hyyve’s real value lies in the visibility it offers. Sellers can review each agent’s credentials, proposed marketing plan, and commission structure in detail, all before selecting a partner. It’s a way to make informed, confident decisions — not just based on reputation, but on substance.
While agents will bid to represent you, the amount they put forward isn’t the only thing that matters. Every proposal includes your agent’s credentials, marketing plan, and a customized strategy for selling your home. Sellers are encouraged to look beyond the numbers and examine which agent brings the strongest combination of expertise and vision.
Hyyve also gives sellers a valuable benchmark. You may have referrals from family, friends, or colleagues, but with Hyyve you can compare those recommendations directly against agents actively competing for your listing. No pressure, no obligation — only options. Because referrals alone aren’t always enough, and sellers deserve to see the bigger picture.
For Buyers: A Smarter Way to Get Represented
The buyer journey isn’t always straightforward — but Hyyve is bringing clarity and credibility to that process too. Through its partnership with Frank Mortgage, pre-qualified buyers can post their ideal property criteria on the platform. In response, agents compete for the opportunity to represent them, offering value-added perks or cash incentives in their bids.
This reverse-pitch approach helps buyers feel prioritized and supported — while ensuring the agents they’re matched with are not only experienced, but also financially invested in their success. No cold leads, no vague promises — just aligned expectations, upfront.
And beyond the bidding process, Hyyve partners with trusted services to support your sale from every angle. From inspections and legal services to financing solutions with Frank Mortgage, the platform is building a complete ecosystem designed to help buyers and sellers move forward with confidence.
For Agents: A Better Way to Win Business (and Keep It)
Hyyve’s agent-facing value proposition is straightforward: only pay for business you actually win. There’s no cost to browse or bid on opportunities — and agents only pay when their bid is accepted. That means every dollar invested in Hyyve goes directly toward acquiring a real, motivated client. No print ads, no lead-farming, no guesswork.
But more than that, the platform offers agents an opportunity to showcase what sets them apart. In a marketplace where sellers often have limited information to compare agents, Hyyve invites agents to make their case, with the option to highlight marketing plans, previous performance, local expertise, and more.
Now, that said, the strength of a bid doesn’t end with the number.
One recurring challenge Hyyve sees: agents who forget to include key supporting materials — their bio, a full sales strategy, high-quality marketing collateral — when submitting a proposal. These missing pieces make it harder for agents to stand out, even if their experience is top-tier. Sellers want to see the full picture, and well-prepared agents have the best shot at winning listings in a competitive environment.
In other words, a strong Hyyve bid isn’t just about price — it’s about polish, preparedness, and professionalism. This can be the difference between blending in and breaking through.
The Big Picture: Efficiency Without Disruption
Unlike platforms trying to replace agents or upend the real estate process entirely, Hyyve is designed to enhance it — adding clarity, competition, and accountability to the early stages of a transaction, then stepping aside. Once a match is made and an agreement is signed, the platform holds the upfront payment in trust and lets the agent take the reins. No micromanagement. No interference.
What Hyyve offers is a more efficient, transparent way to begin — one where every party has agency, and the process rewards preparation and performance.
In a market that’s evolving fast, that kind of alignment is more than welcome — it’s overdue.
To learn more or register as a seller, buyer, or agent, visit hyyve.ca.
Elysium Investments has filed plans for a 43- and 41-storey residential development within walking distance of the Mount Dennis station on the forthcoming Eglinton Crosstown LRT. The plans call for two towers containing 851 rental units and a 2,152-sq.-ft Privately Owned Publicly Accessible Space (POPS) located onsite.
The Zoning By-law Amendment application was filed by Elysium in early September and is currently pending the City of Toronto's review. If approved, the new apartment complex would replace the 17 detached and semi-detached homes that currently occupy the York development site.
Located at 70-104 Brownville Avenue, the roughly 40,192-sq.-ft site sits directly east of Weston Road and just south of Eglinton Avenue in the Mount Dennis neighbourhood of the city. Under a 10-minute walk away is Mount Dennis station, providing access to subway, GO Transit, and UP Express services. On top of that, the site is currently serviced by multiple bus routes.
In response to intensified transit connectivity in the area, planning materials say "significant growth and development" is expected to flow into Mount Dennis in the coming years. Already, sizeable development proposals have been filed for nearby sites, including a seven-tower mixed-use proposal from Choice Properties REIT that would reach 45 storeys and a 24- and 34-storey mixed-use development from Haven Developments, which gained approvals in July 2024.
Elysium's Brownville Avenue development features designs from BDP Quadrangle, which show the two towers atop a shared six-storey podium element. On the south portion of the site would be 41-storey 'Tower A' and in the north would be 43-storey 'Tower B,' with the POPS located between Tower B and Barr Avenue to the north.
70-104 Brownville Avenue/BDP Quadrangle
At grade, you would find the first of the amenity spaces in the form of a two-storey 4,165-sq.-ft space that connects with the POPS along Barr Avenue, alongside a 1,248-sq.-ft indoor amenity space located in the southern portion of the podium. At level seven, indoor and outdoor amenity span span the podium roof top, with 5,026 sq. ft located in Tower B, 5,887 sq. ft in Tower A, and 12,658 sq. ft of outdoor amenity space in between the two towers. Finally, an additional 3,822 sq. ft of indoor and outdoor amenity spaces would be found on the rooftops of both towers A and B.
In terms of residential unit makeup, the 851 units would be divided into 63 studios, 472 one- and one plus den-bedrooms, 211 two- and two plus den-bedrooms, and 105 three-bedrooms. These residents would also have access to 124 vehicle parking spaces across the two underground parking levels and 479 bicycle parking spaces on the ground and second floors.
It’s full speed ahead for the new Vancouver Art Gallery building slated for 181 West Georgia Street, at the intersection of Cambie and W Georgia streets. On Monday morning, Formline Architecture + Urbanism and KPMB Architects were unveiled as the team that will lead the design of the new purpose-built building, which will replace a parking lot and former sports field known as Larwill Park.
“Selected from proposals submitted by 14 leading Canadian firms, this decision marks an important milestone in the Gallery’s renewed vision to create a destination for art and culture that reflects the diversity of its audiences,” a press release from the Gallery said. This is the beginning of a collaborative process toward a new conceptual design in 2026, one shaped by listening, dialogue and the perspectives of the communities the Gallery serves.”
The release further explains that Formline and KPMB were selected by an Architect Selection Committee made up of Board and Gallery leadership, artists, major benefactors and construction experts, and that a panel comprised of architects and real estate professionals had a say in the technical aspects of the contending proposals.
“The Vancouver Art Gallery is the cultural memory keeper of British Columbia and holds a unique position in the Pacific Northwest,” said Sirish Rao and Eva Respini, Interim Co-CEOs of the Gallery. “This is the largest cultural infrastructure project in Vancouver in over 30 years and we are thrilled to partner with Formline + KPMB to work towards a Gallery that supports storytelling, convening, innovation and access to art and ideas.”
The design of the new building is anticipated to benefit from KPMB’s past experience working on landmarks like the Gardiner Museum, TIFF Lightbox, and Roy Thomson Hall, and Formline’s place-based Indigenous design thinking and emphasis on creating buildings that are culturally sensitive. Formline’s Founder and Principal Alfred Waugh also expresses a deeper connection to the project.
“My mother left this world too early, and during my formative years, she asked me to do something meaningful for our people — a request that has sparked my journey into architecture,” says Waugh. “Now we have been privileged with this opportunity to celebrate Vancouver's vibrant culture while honouring the Indigenous peoples who have stewarded this land for generations and paying tribute to the beautiful mountains and lush rainforests that define our region.”
In December 2024, it came to light that the Gallery would be parting ways with Herzog & de Meuron, the Swiss architectural firm that was selected to lead the design of the Larwill Park site in 2014. The Gallery then launched the official request for proposal process in February, with invitations sent to 14 Canadian firms, revealed to STOREYS as follows:
Clockwise from top left: Erin Elliott, Kaitlynn Given, Darren Tangen, Richard Hylands, James Blair, and Jenny Siman.
Fall is now in swing, and with the new season, some in real and estate and development across BC are settling into new roles. In fact, September brought a host of new hirings and promotions, including some high-level executive moves, such as Darren Tangen starting as the President of Westbank and Erin Elliott joining Conwest Developments as Chief Financial Officer.
The month also brought moves in government, across brokerages, and in finance.
Here are all the people who were hired or received promotions in BC in last month.
James Blair has been promoted to Managing Director at Marcus & Millichap.
Christian Nonni has been promoted to Senior Director of Real Estate Operations at Nonni Property Group, while Tanner Rybchinsk has been promoted to Senior Director of Capital Finance.
Matt Kamer has been promoted to Director of Construction at Western Canadian Properties Group.
Sandy Nijjer has joined Ledingham McAllister as Director of Sales & Managing Broker, and Lori Brandstrom has joined Ledingham McAllister as Sales Manager for their Riviera project in Burnaby.
Gaganpreet Kaur has joined Graham as a Senior Project Coordinator.
Zac Abelson has been promoted to Development Manager at Wesgroup.
Ryan Stennard has joined Boardwalk REIT as a Development Manager.
Timea Kovacs has joined Devon Properties as Property Manager.
Government and Planning:
Erin Gorby has joined Metro Vancouver as Division Manager, Regional Parks West Area.
Kaitlynn Given has been promoted to Senior Development Planner at the City of Burnaby.
Jeremy Yu is joining the Burnaby Housing Authority as Financial Controller.
Saket Ayala has joined Calgary Housing as Leader, Portfolio Management.
Patrick Hannah has been promoted to AVP at Cushman & Wakefield.
Norm Taylor has returned to Colliers as an EVP and Bailey Broeders has been promoted to Business Services Coordinator.
Steven Caldecott has transitioned from Avison Young’s Valuation and Advisory Services team to its Debt & Equity Finance team as an Associate, and Kyle Redmond has joined Avison Young as a Market Intelligence Coordinator.
Jenny Siman has been promoted to Head of Real Estate, Western Canada for National Bank of Canada.
Colin Zhong has been promoted to Senior Manager of Mid-Market Commercial Banking at CIBC.
Sahib Lalli and Justin McGaw have been promoted to AVP of Real Estate Finance at CMLS Financial in Edmonton and Calgary, respectively.
Sean Lippitt has joined MCAP in Calgary as Senior Director, Development Finance Group.
Matthew Spiwek has been promoted to Associate Director of Mortgage Origination at Canada ICI Capital Corporation’s team in Alberta.
National:
Ana Bailão has been appointed inaugural CEO of Build Canada Homes.
Sign up for our newsletters for weekly updates on hirings, promotions, and job vacancies. To spotlight a new hire or an open position that needs to be filled, email: advertising@storeys.com.
In luxury real estate, it’s easy to assume that prestige sells itself. But even the most sought-after properties aren’t immune to the unpredictable. Market conditions cool. Stock portfolios dip. A next-door lawn grows wild. And just like that, a multimillion-dollar listing becomes harder to move.
This is why working with a highly experienced luxury REMAX® agent — one who understands how to navigate nuance, set a strategic tone, and overcome hurdles outside a seller’s control — is invaluable.
In 2025, Canada’s high-end housing market is contending with a rare mix of pressures. After a strong start to the year, marked by double-digit sales growth in places like Saskatoon, Montreal and Edmonton, REMAX’s 2025 Spotlight on Luxury notes political tensions and the threat of tariffs triggered economic headwinds. Luxury activity in Greater Toronto and Vancouver slowed. Buyers began treading more carefully — taking more time, asking more questions and expanding their search.
“When we talk about sellers adapting to current conditions, we’re not just referring to price adjustment,” says Don Kottick, President of REMAX Canada, in a recent REMAX blog. “Sellers should be mindful of every detail of their property — even the ones they can’t control.”
For luxury sellers, those uncontrollable factors can come in many forms: the unkempt neighbouring yard; the ongoing construction site next door; shifting perceptions of a neighbourhood, even if the property itself is pristine. A recent REMAX survey found that 51% of Canadians say neighbouring homes in poor condition are a deal breaker — and that figure climbs in higher-end markets where expectations are even more exacting.
Add broader macro factors like stock market volatility, rising carrying costs, and growing geopolitical tension, and luxury buyers certainly have excuses for hesitating. In these moments, luxury REMAX agents provide the professionalism, perspective, and polish needed to keep deals on track.
Whether the challenge is economic or cosmetic, the value of a seasoned REMAX agent lies in their ability to shift focus, reframe perceived flaws and leverage what’s working. That might mean advising a seller to screen off a neighbouring eyesore with strategic landscaping. It could involve staging the home to highlight interior tranquility or marketing the property with sharper visual storytelling to compensate for exterior limitations. In some cases, it’s as simple as helping sellers have the right conversation with the neighbour next door — a diplomatic nudge that could improve curb appeal on both sides of the property line.
But those are just the visible factors. Below the surface, a luxury sale demands even more nuance — especially in a market shaped by political volatility, intergenerational wealth transfer and unprecedented demographic shifts. Today’s high-end buyers aren’t just looking for square footage. They’re looking for reassurance. For knowledge. And that’s exactly what luxury REMAX agents bring to the table, combining expertise, trust, and market fluency to support their clients’ biggest decisions.
These luxury agents anticipate concerns, adapt to changing dynamics, and advocate for sellers with precision and clarity — which is exactly what today’s market demands.
In 2025, this means understanding which luxury segments are thriving (mid-range luxury in smaller markets like Ottawa, Saskatoon and Halifax, for example), and which are in a holding pattern. It means knowing that affluent downsizers are trading space for simplicity — not price for value. That multi-generational living is shaping everything from custom builds to infill demand. That cross-country migration is swelling demand in places like Calgary and Moncton, where lifestyle (and land) go further.
And it means understanding that for all the things sellers can’t control, they can control who they work with.
REMAX agents specializing in luxury bring something extra to the table; not just local market fluency, but access to a global network, exclusive platforms and a strategic mindset attuned to this specific segment. Through The REMAX Collection® — a designation reserved for listings priced at least twice the local average — agents pair on-the-ground insight with elite-level presentation, targeted exposure and service that matches the calibre of the listing itself. This elevated standard is what gives REMAX agents an edge — and what gives sellers the peace of mind they need in uncertain moments.
Because at this level, it’s not just about moving a property. It’s about protecting a legacy, capturing the right kind of attention and delivering outcomes that make sense — even when the market doesn’t.
REMAX
Sellers only get one shot at a first impression. In a shifting market, with increasingly selective buyers and a long list of external distractions, that impression needs to be clear, confident, and compelling.
The right property can open a door. But it's the right agent — one with luxury market insight, polish, and problem-solving experience — who knows how to walk buyers through it, no matter what’s happening on the other side of the fence.
This article was written and submitted by Cameron Levitt, a Toronto-based real estate agent with RE/MAX Hallmark who writes about housing dynamics, market trends, and the Canadian economy.
A recent CMHC report titled "Is Toronto's condo market downturn a repeat of the 1990s?" points to a possible future rebound as new supply has essentially stopped. The argument is straightforward: With no new projects breaking ground today, the eventual shortage could drive another wave of appreciation tomorrow. That thesis is the foundation for many to ask and question whether or not it's time to buy investment condos.
It is a question worth exploring. Toronto has experienced cycles where underbuilding eventually led to renewed price growth, and CMHC is correct to highlight that construction slowdowns can set up future scarcity. For many investors, the current environment feels like a classic 'buy when there's blood in the streets' moment; prices have fallen from peaks, sentiment is negative, and conventional wisdom says to avoid the asset class entirely. But before assuming that contrarian instincts and long-term supply dynamics alone make condos a smart buy in 2025, it is worth looking at the mechanics that investors actually face today. When you do, the investment case breaks down quickly.
The Core Problem: Negative Cash Flow For Investors
Almost every condo in Toronto is cash-flow negative at current interest rates and prices. Consider a typical downtown one-bedroom listed at $619,000. Even with a 4% mortgage rate and 30-year amortization, monthly costs hit $3,349: $2,364 for the mortgage, $699 in maintenance fees, and $286 in property taxes. Against rental income of $2,600, that creates a monthly loss of $749 before taxes, vacancy, and repairs.
In the past, negative cash flow was not disqualifying because price appreciation offset monthly losses. Without a trend of strong appreciation, the negative carry just subsidizes tenants every month with no guarantee of payoff.
Even significant rate cuts would not solve the problem. At 3.25%, investors would still lose $540 monthly. To break even on cash flow would require an interest rate of roughly 1.1% or a purchase price around $423,000, roughly $196,000 below current levels. Major bank economists like CIBC's Benjamin Tal forecast the Bank of Canada policy rate declining to only 2.25% by the end of 2025, nowhere near the levels needed to make condo investment viable.
What The Condo Investment Thesis Really Was
The condo investment thesis evolved over time from rental income to pure speculation. While early condo investors may have focused on steady rent returns, the model gradually shifted to a leveraged momentum trade dressed up as property ownership. Most "investors" were not holding units for steady rent checks, they were speculating on price growth through pre-construction contracts.
Pre-construction operated like commodity futures contracts, where buyers lock in fixed prices for future delivery while betting on asset appreciation. A buyer would put down 20% over several years, lock in a purchase price, and ride the market higher without taking on a mortgage. If values rose, the contract could be flipped before closing for significant profit. It was leverage without carrying costs.
From 2016 through 2021, developers launched tens of thousands of condo units that were quickly sold to small investors chasing momentum, not end users who planned to live in them. Those projects are now delivering into an entirely different market defined by higher interest rates, weaker rents, and falling resale values. The very strategy that drove condo investment is now the source of its vulnerability.
The speculation-driven market also shaped what developers actually built. For years, developers optimized units to satisfy investor demand rather than end-user livability. As prices climbed, units got smaller and layouts became more cramped to hit lower price points that attracted speculators. The result is a glut of small, poorly designed units that offer limited livability for actual residents. Even if the pre-construction market eventually recovers, developers will need to start building units that people actually want to live in, not just speculate on. This means what investors are purchasing now represents leftover inventory from a development era that no longer exists.
When rates are extremely low, investors can justify holding cash-flow negative assets because carrying costs are minimal and momentum-based appreciation covers shortfalls. But when rates rise, fundamentals reassert themselves. Higher capital costs turn manageable losses into crushing monthly drains, while also cutting off the new buyer flow needed to sustain price growth.
Rising Maintenance Fees And Construction Inflation
Maintenance fees are a drag on cash flow, and they are structurally set to rise. A 2023 study of 60 condo corporations across the GTA from Condonexus found average fee increases of 5.1% year over year, while contributions to reserve funds rose by 11.8% on average. Reserve funds, which cover big-ticket items like windows, roofs, and elevators, now represent about a quarter of the typical condo budget.
Those costs are driven by construction inflation, not consumer goods inflation, and that distinction is critical. Most of a condo's operating budget goes to maintenance, services, and repairs, while the reserve fund is entirely exposed to construction costs. As the chart below shows, construction costs have consistently outpaced general inflation, creating persistent upward pressure on maintenance fees even as broader price levels have moderated.
Condo corporations face constant pressure to raise fees to keep pace with higher contractor quotes and material costs. The situation may worsen because reserve fund studies are conducted only every three years, meaning many buildings have not yet gauged how recent price increases need to be accounted for in future budgets. Even though construction inflation has moderated from its peak, the massive price increases from 2022-2023 are baked into the cost base, and it will take years of sustained lower growth for other costs to catch up.
Supply And Demand Misalignment In The Investor Market
The CMHC report is right about one thing: new condo launches have slowed to almost a complete stop. But that long-term supply crunch is colliding with a near-term oversupply. The projects launched during the low-rate era are now completing, adding thousands of units to the resale and rental markets. Even with some cancellations, the pipeline remains large enough to act as a drag for years.
At the same time, rental demand has softened. Housing analyst Ben Rabidoux from Edge Analytics has documented a strong correlation between non-permanent resident growth and Ontario rental prices, as shown in the chart below. Federal policy has cut back temporary resident inflows, particularly student permits, which were a key driver of downtown condo rentals. The dramatic decline in non-permanent resident growth from its 2022-2023 peak coincides directly with the cooling rental market, illustrating how policy changes have removed a critical source of rental demand.
Without that steady churn of new tenants, the upward pressure on rents has stalled. Urbanation reported that average condo rents in the GTA fell by 2.8% year over year in Q1 2025, down to $3.78 per square foot (about $2,612 for a typical 692-square-foot unit). At the same time, active condo rental listings were up 29% year over year, pushing available supply to 1.4 months of inventory, well above the 10-year average of 0.95 months. A rental market under pressure colliding with new supply is not a recipe for investment success.
Institutional Competition In The Rental Market
Another overlooked factor is the growing role of institutional players. Pension funds, REITs, and private equity are building large rental portfolios across Canada. Unlike small investors, they operate with vertically integrated business models, combining construction, financing, and property management under one umbrella.
They also benefit from CMHC-backed financing that offers better loan terms such as lower downpayments, lower rates, and longer repayment periods (40-50 years). These are a huge advantage which are not available to small investors purchasing individual condo units. Institutional players are rapidly capitalizing on these programs: in the first three quarters of 2024, CMHC provided mortgage insurance for over 200,000 apartment units totalling C$48 billion, a 59% increase year over year.
This institutional capital is also targeting the same rental market that small condo investors depend on. In 2024, 40% of condo units in the GTA were rented, up from 29% in 2014, but condo rental units average approximately 50% higher rents than comparable purpose-built rental units. As institutions build more purpose-built rental supply at scale, they can offer tenants better value while still achieving superior returns due to their financing and operational advantages.
That structural advantage means institutions can weather market volatility while achieving superior returns through operational efficiencies. Smaller condo investors are left competing in a game tilted against them.
Conclusion: Answering The Question
So, is it time to 'buy the dip' on investment condos? The CMHC report raises valid concerns about long-term supply constraints, and history does show that construction slowdowns can eventually support price rebounds. But while CMHC focuses on multi-year supply dynamics, the mechanics facing individual investors today tell a different story entirely. Today's investor faces negative cash flow, oversupply, weaker rental demand, institutional competition, and steadily rising costs.
The supply crunch thesis may prove right someday, but in 2025, the risk-reward is firmly against small condo investors. CMHC's long-term optimism about supply and demand doesn't change the fact that buying the dip today is not an investment, it is speculation on future conditions that remain uncertain.